Retirement
April 25, 2025

At TMG, we often hear questions like:

“If the economy is doing well, shouldn’t the stock market be doing well too?”

The truth is the economy, and the stock market are not always directly connected. The market tends to move based on where investors think the economy is going, not just where it is today.

That said, economic data still plays a vital role in shaping market expectations. It offers clues about inflation, interest rates, consumer spending, and business activity; factors that help guide portfolio strategy and financial planning.

Here’s a simple breakdown of where this data comes from, how it’s collected, and how we use it to support your financial goals.

Where Does Economic Data Come From?

Economic and market data is collected by a combination of government agencies and private sector firms. These organizations track everything from prices and employment to manufacturing activity and retail sales.

Key Government Sources:

  • Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
    Tracks inflation, wages, and jobs. Publishes the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI).
  • U.S. Census Bureau
    Reports on consumer spending, business inventories, and retail sales.
  • Federal Reserve (The Fed)
    Analyzes broad economic trends and provides guidance on interest rates.
  • Department of Commerce
    Provides GDP reports, trade data, and more.

Key Private Sector Sources:

  • ADP
    Releases private payroll and employment data.
  • S&P Global
    Publishes PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) for business activity.
  • Bloomberg, FactSet, Refinitiv
    Deliver real-time financial data and economic forecasts.
  • Major companies (e.g. Amazon, Walmart, UPS)
    Share earnings and logistics data that help paint a real-world picture of consumer behavior.

How Is the Data Collected?

These organizations use a mix of surveys, digital tracking, and business reporting to gather their data:

Data Type How It's Collected Example Report
Prices Store visits, service surveys, online price tracking Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI)
Jobs Employer payroll records, household surveys Jobs Report, ADP Payroll
Spending Surveys of retailers and manufacturers Retail Sales, Personal Consumption
Economic Output National accounting, production data Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Industrial Production

Most of this data is released monthly or quarterly and is watched closely by economists, market analysts, and advisors.

Why this Data Affects the Market

Markets respond to expectations. If economic data shows inflation is rising faster than expected, it may signal that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, which can impact stocks and bonds. If job growth slows, the Fed might lower rates to stimulate the economy, which can boost markets.

While the market doesn't always follow the economy perfectly, economic reports act as early signals. Investors adjust their positions based on what they think will happen next.

How TMG Uses This Data

We monitor economic data closely to:

  • Anticipate potential risks and opportunities.

  • Adjust investment strategies based on inflation or rate trends.

  • Help clients plan around the economic cycle.

  • Stay ahead of market volatility, not behind it.

We don’t try to time the market. Instead, we focus on making smart, informed decisions that support your financial well-being.

Ready to Feel More Confident in Your Financial Future?

Let’s have a conversation. We’re here to help you stay informed, prepared, and empowered to make smart decisions, no matter what the market brings.

This is Why-powered wealth management. We don’t just respond to headlines, we proactively build comprehensive financial plans designed to withstand volatility and adapt to change. By leveraging real-time economic data, extensive investment and planning expertise and forward-looking insights, we help you stay focused, make confident choices, and move toward your goals with clarity and purpose.

Need more help?
Contact The Mather Group, your advisor, health insurance professional, or your state’s health insurance assistance program (SHIP) for additional information. SHIP is a national program that offers one-on-one Medicare counseling and assistance to individuals and their families.

At TMG, we often hear questions like:

“If the economy is doing well, shouldn’t the stock market be doing well too?”

The truth is the economy, and the stock market are not always directly connected. The market tends to move based on where investors think the economy is going, not just where it is today.

That said, economic data still plays a vital role in shaping market expectations. It offers clues about inflation, interest rates, consumer spending, and business activity; factors that help guide portfolio strategy and financial planning.

Here’s a simple breakdown of where this data comes from, how it’s collected, and how we use it to support your financial goals.

Where Does Economic Data Come From?

Economic and market data is collected by a combination of government agencies and private sector firms. These organizations track everything from prices and employment to manufacturing activity and retail sales.

Key Government Sources:

  • Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
    Tracks inflation, wages, and jobs. Publishes the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI).
  • U.S. Census Bureau
    Reports on consumer spending, business inventories, and retail sales.
  • Federal Reserve (The Fed)
    Analyzes broad economic trends and provides guidance on interest rates.
  • Department of Commerce
    Provides GDP reports, trade data, and more.

Key Private Sector Sources:

  • ADP
    Releases private payroll and employment data.
  • S&P Global
    Publishes PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) for business activity.
  • Bloomberg, FactSet, Refinitiv
    Deliver real-time financial data and economic forecasts.
  • Major companies (e.g. Amazon, Walmart, UPS)
    Share earnings and logistics data that help paint a real-world picture of consumer behavior.

How Is the Data Collected?

These organizations use a mix of surveys, digital tracking, and business reporting to gather their data:

Data Type How It's Collected Example Report
Prices Store visits, service surveys, online price tracking Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI)
Jobs Employer payroll records, household surveys Jobs Report, ADP Payroll
Spending Surveys of retailers and manufacturers Retail Sales, Personal Consumption
Economic Output National accounting, production data Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Industrial Production

Most of this data is released monthly or quarterly and is watched closely by economists, market analysts, and advisors.

Why this Data Affects the Market

Markets respond to expectations. If economic data shows inflation is rising faster than expected, it may signal that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, which can impact stocks and bonds. If job growth slows, the Fed might lower rates to stimulate the economy, which can boost markets.

While the market doesn't always follow the economy perfectly, economic reports act as early signals. Investors adjust their positions based on what they think will happen next.

How TMG Uses This Data

We monitor economic data closely to:

  • Anticipate potential risks and opportunities.

  • Adjust investment strategies based on inflation or rate trends.

  • Help clients plan around the economic cycle.

  • Stay ahead of market volatility, not behind it.

We don’t try to time the market. Instead, we focus on making smart, informed decisions that support your financial well-being.

Ready to Feel More Confident in Your Financial Future?

Let’s have a conversation. We’re here to help you stay informed, prepared, and empowered to make smart decisions, no matter what the market brings.

This is Why-powered wealth management. We don’t just respond to headlines, we proactively build comprehensive financial plans designed to withstand volatility and adapt to change. By leveraging real-time economic data, extensive investment and planning expertise and forward-looking insights, we help you stay focused, make confident choices, and move toward your goals with clarity and purpose.

Need more help?
Contact The Mather Group, your advisor, health insurance professional, or your state’s health insurance assistance program (SHIP) for additional information. SHIP is a national program that offers one-on-one Medicare counseling and assistance to individuals and their families.
Let’s build your financial future today.
Experience purpose-driven financial management designed around you and your family. Get a free investment audit today to discover the TMG difference.
Start with a free financial consultation.
Retirement
April 25, 2025

At TMG, we often hear questions like:

“If the economy is doing well, shouldn’t the stock market be doing well too?”

The truth is the economy, and the stock market are not always directly connected. The market tends to move based on where investors think the economy is going, not just where it is today.

That said, economic data still plays a vital role in shaping market expectations. It offers clues about inflation, interest rates, consumer spending, and business activity; factors that help guide portfolio strategy and financial planning.

Here’s a simple breakdown of where this data comes from, how it’s collected, and how we use it to support your financial goals.

Where Does Economic Data Come From?

Economic and market data is collected by a combination of government agencies and private sector firms. These organizations track everything from prices and employment to manufacturing activity and retail sales.

Key Government Sources:

  • Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
    Tracks inflation, wages, and jobs. Publishes the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI).
  • U.S. Census Bureau
    Reports on consumer spending, business inventories, and retail sales.
  • Federal Reserve (The Fed)
    Analyzes broad economic trends and provides guidance on interest rates.
  • Department of Commerce
    Provides GDP reports, trade data, and more.

Key Private Sector Sources:

  • ADP
    Releases private payroll and employment data.
  • S&P Global
    Publishes PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) for business activity.
  • Bloomberg, FactSet, Refinitiv
    Deliver real-time financial data and economic forecasts.
  • Major companies (e.g. Amazon, Walmart, UPS)
    Share earnings and logistics data that help paint a real-world picture of consumer behavior.

How Is the Data Collected?

These organizations use a mix of surveys, digital tracking, and business reporting to gather their data:

Data Type How It's Collected Example Report
Prices Store visits, service surveys, online price tracking Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI)
Jobs Employer payroll records, household surveys Jobs Report, ADP Payroll
Spending Surveys of retailers and manufacturers Retail Sales, Personal Consumption
Economic Output National accounting, production data Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Industrial Production

Most of this data is released monthly or quarterly and is watched closely by economists, market analysts, and advisors.

Why this Data Affects the Market

Markets respond to expectations. If economic data shows inflation is rising faster than expected, it may signal that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, which can impact stocks and bonds. If job growth slows, the Fed might lower rates to stimulate the economy, which can boost markets.

While the market doesn't always follow the economy perfectly, economic reports act as early signals. Investors adjust their positions based on what they think will happen next.

How TMG Uses This Data

We monitor economic data closely to:

  • Anticipate potential risks and opportunities.

  • Adjust investment strategies based on inflation or rate trends.

  • Help clients plan around the economic cycle.

  • Stay ahead of market volatility, not behind it.

We don’t try to time the market. Instead, we focus on making smart, informed decisions that support your financial well-being.

Ready to Feel More Confident in Your Financial Future?

Let’s have a conversation. We’re here to help you stay informed, prepared, and empowered to make smart decisions, no matter what the market brings.

This is Why-powered wealth management. We don’t just respond to headlines, we proactively build comprehensive financial plans designed to withstand volatility and adapt to change. By leveraging real-time economic data, extensive investment and planning expertise and forward-looking insights, we help you stay focused, make confident choices, and move toward your goals with clarity and purpose.

Need more help?
Contact The Mather Group, your advisor, health insurance professional, or your state’s health insurance assistance program (SHIP) for additional information. SHIP is a national program that offers one-on-one Medicare counseling and assistance to individuals and their families.

At TMG, we often hear questions like:

“If the economy is doing well, shouldn’t the stock market be doing well too?”

The truth is the economy, and the stock market are not always directly connected. The market tends to move based on where investors think the economy is going, not just where it is today.

That said, economic data still plays a vital role in shaping market expectations. It offers clues about inflation, interest rates, consumer spending, and business activity; factors that help guide portfolio strategy and financial planning.

Here’s a simple breakdown of where this data comes from, how it’s collected, and how we use it to support your financial goals.

Where Does Economic Data Come From?

Economic and market data is collected by a combination of government agencies and private sector firms. These organizations track everything from prices and employment to manufacturing activity and retail sales.

Key Government Sources:

  • Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
    Tracks inflation, wages, and jobs. Publishes the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI).
  • U.S. Census Bureau
    Reports on consumer spending, business inventories, and retail sales.
  • Federal Reserve (The Fed)
    Analyzes broad economic trends and provides guidance on interest rates.
  • Department of Commerce
    Provides GDP reports, trade data, and more.

Key Private Sector Sources:

  • ADP
    Releases private payroll and employment data.
  • S&P Global
    Publishes PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) for business activity.
  • Bloomberg, FactSet, Refinitiv
    Deliver real-time financial data and economic forecasts.
  • Major companies (e.g. Amazon, Walmart, UPS)
    Share earnings and logistics data that help paint a real-world picture of consumer behavior.

How Is the Data Collected?

These organizations use a mix of surveys, digital tracking, and business reporting to gather their data:

Data Type How It's Collected Example Report
Prices Store visits, service surveys, online price tracking Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI)
Jobs Employer payroll records, household surveys Jobs Report, ADP Payroll
Spending Surveys of retailers and manufacturers Retail Sales, Personal Consumption
Economic Output National accounting, production data Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Industrial Production

Most of this data is released monthly or quarterly and is watched closely by economists, market analysts, and advisors.

Why this Data Affects the Market

Markets respond to expectations. If economic data shows inflation is rising faster than expected, it may signal that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, which can impact stocks and bonds. If job growth slows, the Fed might lower rates to stimulate the economy, which can boost markets.

While the market doesn't always follow the economy perfectly, economic reports act as early signals. Investors adjust their positions based on what they think will happen next.

How TMG Uses This Data

We monitor economic data closely to:

  • Anticipate potential risks and opportunities.

  • Adjust investment strategies based on inflation or rate trends.

  • Help clients plan around the economic cycle.

  • Stay ahead of market volatility, not behind it.

We don’t try to time the market. Instead, we focus on making smart, informed decisions that support your financial well-being.

Ready to Feel More Confident in Your Financial Future?

Let’s have a conversation. We’re here to help you stay informed, prepared, and empowered to make smart decisions, no matter what the market brings.

This is Why-powered wealth management. We don’t just respond to headlines, we proactively build comprehensive financial plans designed to withstand volatility and adapt to change. By leveraging real-time economic data, extensive investment and planning expertise and forward-looking insights, we help you stay focused, make confident choices, and move toward your goals with clarity and purpose.

Need more help?
Contact The Mather Group, your advisor, health insurance professional, or your state’s health insurance assistance program (SHIP) for additional information. SHIP is a national program that offers one-on-one Medicare counseling and assistance to individuals and their families.
Let’s build your
financial future today.
Experience purpose-driven financial management designed around you and your family. Get a free investment audit today to discover the TMG difference.
Start with a free financial consultation.